cos: (frff-profile)
cos ([personal profile] cos) wrote2014-09-08 02:42 pm

Massachusetts Primary Picks

Tomorrow, Tuesday Sep 9th, is the Massachusetts primary election. Polls are open 7am-8pm, and you can find your polling place and a list of candidates on your ballot at WhereDoIVoteMA.com.

People keep asking me what I think of the Democratic primary candidates, and I promised a post...

You can read all of the statewide candidates' Progressive Mass questionnaire submissions for a lot more detail about their policy positions, experience, and statements about why they're running and what they believe. Progressive Mass members used these questionnaires, plus a series of candidate forums, to vote on endorsements.

  • Governor

    Don Berwick outshines the others by far. By plainly promoting strong progressive policies, he'd move the debate about a lot of things in Massachusetts and cause a sea change in the kinds of policies we actually get. Single payer health care, a progressive income tax, universal pre-K education, no more prison building, housing-first for homelessness, and more.

    Not only that, but Don Berwick has a long and solid background of evidence-based approaches to management and policy. Instead of deciding a-priori by ideology or political considerations how to do something or how to accomplish some goal, he looks at the actual outcomes of different approaches to see what the evidence says will likely be most effective. Berwick was endorsed by Progressive Mass after getting 70% of the vote in what was then a 4-candidate contest: Significantly more than twice as many votes as the three other candidates combined. I agree with the commenter who wrote, "I believe his candidacy represents our chance to substantially change the political landscape here in Massachusetts."

    Martha Coakley is clearly the worst of the three. As Attorney General, the core of her job has been the criminal justice system, yet that's the issue on which she's been the most awful. She spoke up in favor of the Patriot Act, defended counterterrorism "fusion centers" while brushing away privacy concerns, favors the war on drugs and opposed decriminalization, worked with a woefully underfunded public defense system and did not try to get it fixed*, and seems to have done nothing about the way we funnel so much of our population into prisons.

    * correction: I originally wrote that she "presided over" the public defense system, which is untrue. I'm still upset at her regarding this issue, because she prioritizes prosecution with little regard for defense, but that statement was sloppy.


    Coakley's nomination is also the most likely path to getting a Republican governor. We know she's a lousy campaigner from her embarassing loss to Scott Brown; she's probably gotten better and learned some since then, but chances are she's still bad at it and that'll give Charlie Baker an opening. Also, there are a lot of Massachusetts voters who are very suspicious of what they think of as Democratic "hacks", people who follow the path up the Democratic party in MA until they get nominated for Governor because it's basically their turn, not because they're really better. As a result, Democrats lost several times in a row after nominating an Attorney General for Governor. It was only after the Democratic Attorney General whose turn it was supposed to be finally lost a primary, in 2006, and Democrats nominated someone from outside the state party ranks (Deval Patrick), that a Democratic governor was elected.

    Also, there are a lot of Democratic-leaning independents and Democrats who will occasionally vote Republican, who hate Martha Coakley particularly because of her role in the Fells Acres case (where she went out of her way to make sure an obviously innocent person got kept in prison longer, for what many people feel were career-building political motives). These people will vote for Baker if Coakley is the Democratic nominee, even though they usually prefer Democrats.

    So here's the problem: Currently Coakley leads in the polls, Steve Grossman is second, and Don Berwick third. If your priority is defeating Coakley, you'd vote for Steve Grossman, who's a reasonable candidate, more likely to beat Coakley in the primary, and better able to win the general election. If your priority is supporting a far superior candidate, at risk of making it more likely that we'll get the worst (perhaps because you think she may not be that awful), then Don Berwick is the best choice.

    [Updated: Or, as some people point out, if you believe Coakley is going to win the primary regardless of who you vote for, then you might as well vote for the best candidate. That's Berwick.]

  • Attorney General

    Warren Tolman seems pretty good to me, but Maura Healey really stands out. She's a civil rights attorney who led the lawsuit that overturned a portion of the Defense of Marriage Act in the Supreme Court. She's already got lots of experience in the Massachusetts Attorney General's office, as former Assistant Attorney General. She'd be the first openly gay Attorney General in the US. She's been endorsed by Progressive Mass. I saw them both at a candidate forum and Q&A earlier this summer and came away liking both but having a much better impression of her. This one is, IMO, an easy choice.

  • Lt. Governor

    At a Progressive Mass candidate forum I saw all four candidates speak and answer questions - I asked them questions myself - and I took a bunch of notes. Then I lost all my notes :( Generally I liked all the candidates; Mike Lake and Leland Cheung both seemed better than Kerrigan, and after reflection I decided that Leland Cheung was the best choice. I'm also familiar with him since he's a Cambridge City Councilor and I think he's been one of the best we've had. Some people involved in MA politics whose opinions I value have picked Mike Lake, some have picked Leland Cheung. I'm worried that the progressive vote will split and Steve Kerrigan will win even though nobody I know thinks he's as good as the other two, and neither do I.

    I wish I still had my notes! But you can read the candidates' questionnaire submissions here.

  • Treasurer

    Same thing here: I went to that forum, asked them questions, took notes, and lost the notes, so I fell back on my memory of my impressions, plus their questionnaires. I remember feeling ambivalent about whether Deb Goldberg or Tom Conroy would be best, and I preferred both of them over Barry Finegold.

  • Auditor is uncontested in the primary. Secretary is uncontested in the primary, which is a shame, because Bill Galbin doesn't deserve it. He's better than having an overtly voter-suppressing Republican, but he's anti-Democratic when it comes to his own office, lagged far behind the times in modernizing and computerizing, and the fact that we still don't have election day registration in Massachusetts is a complete disgrace and largely his fault.

    [Update: Galvin will win for sure, since nobody is running against him, but that doesn't mean you should vote for him. I hope you don't.]


P.S. If you're in the Medford+Somerville district formerly represented by Carl Sciortino, who resigned this year, please vote for Christine Barber for state rep. Carl Sciortino was the best state rep in Massachusetts IMO, and getting someone that good to replace him is a challenge, but she may live up to that challenge.

[personal profile] ron_newman 2014-09-08 06:54 pm (UTC)(link)
Any thoughts on Middlesex District Attorney: Marian Ryan (appointed incumbent) or Michael Sullivan?

[identity profile] chenoameg.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 01:22 am (UTC)(link)
I have heard that Ryan is good at her job and that Sullivan seems to be more of a politico than a skilled prosecutor. I think Sullivan is mostly pushing on the Remy scandal?
ckd: small blue foam shark (Default)

[personal profile] ckd 2014-09-08 07:51 pm (UTC)(link)
I am mildly hopeful that a strong showing by Berwick will force the winner (especially if it's Coakley) to pay more attention to progressive voters in the general.

[identity profile] yehoshua.livejournal.com 2014-09-08 11:04 pm (UTC)(link)
If I didn't know better, I'd swear you must be new here. :P
ext_106590: (waffle off)

[identity profile] frobzwiththingz.livejournal.com 2014-09-08 09:06 pm (UTC)(link)
I held my nose and cast a vote under duress for Coakley over Scott Brown in 2010. I will not do it again. She continues to be mostly a self-aggrandizing agent of the expanding police state and if she actually cared one whit about any progressive advances in Mass as opposed to her own power advance she would not be running for governor. If, dear Ghod, she wins this primary she will not be getting *my* vote in the general. I don't care if she has a "D" next to her name. She's downright dangerous, and I want her policital career to go down in spectacular flames already. Please, for the love of Ghod, may Obama appoint her to be the Ambassador to Liberia or something. Yuck.

Edited 2014-09-08 21:07 (UTC)

[identity profile] chenoameg.livejournal.com 2014-09-08 09:20 pm (UTC)(link)
Thank you for this.

[identity profile] tamidon.livejournal.com 2014-09-08 10:26 pm (UTC)(link)
The Matty Eappen case was another instance of gross overreach for personal aggrandizement. What happened to the boy was horrible, but it was in no way murder 2, even if you agreed with Coakley's over the top demonisastion of the nanny, Louise Brown. Coakley's insistence on not allowing a manslaughter verdict led to the most embarrassing smack down of a prosecutor in MA history. Her daily press conferences getting more and more ridiculous, all to build her political profile at the expense of a dead toddler and a British teenager with no clue what was happening to her.

[personal profile] ron_newman 2014-09-08 10:42 pm (UTC)(link)
do you mean Louise Woodward?

[identity profile] tamidon.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 12:21 am (UTC)(link)
yes, sorry, I have no idea why i swapped the 2

[identity profile] kirkcudbright.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 04:13 am (UTC)(link)
Yes, that was when I decided I could no longer support her ever, for anything.

[identity profile] tamidon.livejournal.com 2014-09-08 10:28 pm (UTC)(link)
Tolman's ads keep talking about these trigger locks for guns. Is this a currently useful technology for gun control?
ext_155430: (Default)

[identity profile] beah.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 05:26 pm (UTC)(link)
I don't know, but i did just read that the other candidates support them too, and the only difference is the speed/process by which they want to get them made mandatory.

[identity profile] dougo.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 12:16 am (UTC)(link)
This situation really sucks. What can we do to move the ball forward on preference voting? Would that be a change in Democratic party rules, or in state election laws? (Or both?)

[identity profile] dougo.livejournal.com 2014-09-10 04:31 pm (UTC)(link)
Why wait until the end of the year? 58% of her own party voted against Coakley, yet she's still the nominee. Might be the spark that finally ignites the fuse...

[identity profile] dougo.livejournal.com 2014-09-10 05:20 pm (UTC)(link)
I suppose if Coakley loses in the general election there will be even more anger to fuel the fire...

[identity profile] dougo.livejournal.com 2014-11-19 12:16 am (UTC)(link)
So... how about now?

[identity profile] dougo.livejournal.com 2014-11-19 12:38 am (UTC)(link)
Well yeah, I didn't mean *right* now. But, the fact that Charlie Baker won with less than 50% of the votes should be even more fuel for the preference voting argument.

[identity profile] hammercock.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 02:57 am (UTC)(link)
I'm in the former-Sciortino district and am definitely voting for Christine Barber.

Thanks for this write-up!

[personal profile] miekec 2014-09-09 03:24 am (UTC)(link)
Thanks for the write-up. You're basically using actual research (gasp) to confirm what I was kinda leaning towards. Feel better voting for them now.

(Anonymous) 2014-09-09 11:34 am (UTC)(link)
Thank you for this. Helped remind me to get out and vote.

today's primary!

[identity profile] livejournal.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 01:59 pm (UTC)(link)
User [livejournal.com profile] minkrose referenced to your post from today's primary! (http://minkrose.livejournal.com/576054.html) saying: [...] I voted! If you want more info, Cos has a good post here: http://cos.livejournal.com/127774.html [...]

[identity profile] xiphias.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 03:04 pm (UTC)(link)
Man, do I wish for IRV, right about now.

[identity profile] xiphias.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 03:09 pm (UTC)(link)
I really hope Coakley doesn't get it. She has already demonstrated that she will lose to a moderate Republican. That should have been a career-ender; I just can't see why she has any establishment support.

Heck, during the Coakley/Brown race, when I got calls from her camp, they were APOLOGIZING for asking me to vote for her. Her own campaign workers didn't much like her, and their only argument was Dem/Rep balance in the Senate.

[identity profile] xiphias.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 08:02 pm (UTC)(link)
I did vote for her, for quite that reason. I mean, she WAS closer to my positions on most things than Scott Brown was, but, honestly, were it not for the balance in the Senate, I wouldn't have cared THAT much which one we got.

[identity profile] vettecat.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 05:32 pm (UTC)(link)
I know her IRL, and the thought of Deb G being in charge of the state treasury frightens me. I really hope she doesn't win. (At one point she had been aiming for governor, and then lt. governor... I guess she's scaled back her ambitions to something she might actually get.)
Edited 2014-09-09 17:35 (UTC)

[identity profile] vettecat.livejournal.com 2014-09-10 01:58 am (UTC)(link)
She's rather scattered and unreliable. But it doesn't seem to matter b/c it looks like she's going to win anyway. This could get scary.

District Attorney?

[identity profile] miss-chance.livejournal.com 2014-09-09 09:24 pm (UTC)(link)

Did you have any opinion on them?