WV demographics

Date: 2008-05-14 17:14 (UTC)
cos: (Default)
From: [personal profile] cos
Look at the demographics article I linked to in my post, for more detail.

Clinton definitely beats Obama very big among:
- rural blue collar voters
- who are white, and
- who vote in Democratic primaries, and
- who are part of the Appalachian-Ozark population group located in the mountain regions roughtly from western New York to Arkansas, plus portions of Texas that saw lots of migration from those areas in the past.

Note that this is not a majority of "poor rural whites who vote in Democratic primaries" in general (Obama won by very large margins in Vermont, Kansas, North Dakota, western Colorado...), nor is it even a majority of "poor rural whites in the Appalachian-Ozark belt" (since only a minority of those vote in Democratic primaries). It sure as hell isn't anywhere near a majority of poor rural white voters in general.

The demographic implications of the WV win are exactly what we already knew, and the portend nothing new or interesting. There are demographic groups Clinton does better with and ones Obama does better with and ones where we don't know who does better with (the latter group is much larger than the first two), and WV just fit into the already-known pattern of those.
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